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Some Remarks on the Application of Bayesian Analysis in Law

Mgr Bartosz Janik, Mgr Paweł Banaś

Jagiellonian University

English abstract: This paper discusses the use of Bayesian analysis in law. It introduces the key concepts of Bayesian analysis by giving some common examples of criminal cases. It focuses on the advantages of Bayesian analysis over some other probability interpretations (mainly the frequentist one). The last part of the text discusses the general notion of truth in legal proceedings and its possible interpretations within the probabilistic framework – given the Bayesian subjectivists-objectivists discussion.

Keywords: Thomas Bayes, Bayes’ theorem, subjectivism, objectivism

Language: English

Published: Number 1(10)/2015, pp. 31-40

DOI: https://doi.org/10.36280/AFPiFS.2015.1.31

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Filed Under: Articles Tagged With: Bayes' theorem, objectivism, subjectivism, Thomas Bayes

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lustration Arlie Hochschild judicial formalism legal guarantees of advocates’ activity Kant principle of law Russia intellect Thomas Bayes collective memory ethical-professional intuition popular constitutionalism public morality multilingualism of law interpretationism personalistic dialogue Bartosz Brożek sociological jurisprudence emergency laws law and language Michał Krotoszyński terrorist attack discourse Sylwia Wojtczak impartiality cultural defence Republican Party of Minnesota v. White Sławomir Drelich just war individual and political freedom thick properties procedural criminal law Adam Sulikowski Leviathan Mateusz Wojtanowski primatology post-theology conflict analytical legal theory Katarzyna Mikołajczyk-Graj statutory interpretation syllogistic model for application of the law freedom of speech professional competence Monika Zalewska judicial precedent public interest advocate Aristotle responsibility the triad of consequences

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