Mgr Bartosz Janik, Mgr Paweł Banaś

Jagiellonian University

English abstract: This paper discusses the use of Bayesian analysis in law. It introduces the key concepts of Bayesian analysis by giving some common examples of criminal cases. It focuses on the advantages of Bayesian analysis over some other probability interpretations (mainly the frequentist one). The last part of the text discusses the general notion of truth in legal proceedings and its possible interpretations within the probabilistic framework – given the Bayesian subjectivists-objectivists discussion.

Keywords: Thomas Bayes, Bayes’ theorem, subjectivism, objectivism

Language: English

Published: Number 1(10)/2015, pp. 31-40

DOI: https://doi.org/10.36280/AFPiFS.2015.1.31

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