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Some Remarks on the Application of Bayesian Analysis in Law

Mgr Bartosz Janik, Mgr Paweł Banaś

Jagiellonian University

English abstract: This paper discusses the use of Bayesian analysis in law. It introduces the key concepts of Bayesian analysis by giving some common examples of criminal cases. It focuses on the advantages of Bayesian analysis over some other probability interpretations (mainly the frequentist one). The last part of the text discusses the general notion of truth in legal proceedings and its possible interpretations within the probabilistic framework – given the Bayesian subjectivists-objectivists discussion.

Keywords: Thomas Bayes, Bayes’ theorem, subjectivism, objectivism

Language: English

Published: Number 1(10)/2015, pp. 31-40

DOI: https://doi.org/10.36280/AFPiFS.2015.1.31

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Filed Under: Articles Tagged With: Bayes' theorem, objectivism, subjectivism, Thomas Bayes

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Keywords

consumer protection Autonomy of law Commonwealth v. Aves phraseological association legal cognition analytical philosophy interpretation of law Andrzej Malinowski concept common good lawyer’s professional roles legal profession reactive attitudes conflict networks extra legem gap second-order observation sources of law Arlie Hochschild international society Agnieszka Bielska-Brodziak application of law jurislinguistics institutional theory of law Sławomir Drelich trial German organ transplantation law legal norms vague identity protest restorative justice social ethics law contract law situational assessment legal system Adam Zienkiewicz ought-statements Carl Schmitt popular constitutionalism court decisions self-realization contextualism communication theory of legal interpretation emergency laws sociological jurisprudence ECHR judgements Adam Sulikowski judicial disobedience evolution of law

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