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Some Remarks on the Application of Bayesian Analysis in Law

Mgr Bartosz Janik, Mgr Paweł Banaś

Jagiellonian University

English abstract: This paper discusses the use of Bayesian analysis in law. It introduces the key concepts of Bayesian analysis by giving some common examples of criminal cases. It focuses on the advantages of Bayesian analysis over some other probability interpretations (mainly the frequentist one). The last part of the text discusses the general notion of truth in legal proceedings and its possible interpretations within the probabilistic framework – given the Bayesian subjectivists-objectivists discussion.

Keywords: Thomas Bayes, Bayes’ theorem, subjectivism, objectivism

Language: English

Published: Number 1(10)/2015, pp. 31-40

DOI: https://doi.org/10.36280/AFPiFS.2015.1.31

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Filed Under: Articles Tagged With: Bayes' theorem, objectivism, subjectivism, Thomas Bayes

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Keywords

legal cases theory of deliberative democracy Devlin judicial reasoning nomos of law Marta Soniewicka omission Izabela Skoczeń intention of the legislator professional self-governments Critical Discourse Analysis public reason ethical naturalism international society authority religious argumentation Maciej Zieliński law and ethics institutional theory international legal theory societal constitutionalism weighing the rightness teacher European Union law katechon roles of interpretation language of law theory of justice operative legal interpretation tort law truth revelation procedures juridical state judicial decision nonpositivist concept of law economic theory of law reducing pensions of communist officials second-order rules of legal interpretation originalism ideology transitional justice perfectionist liberalism hylomorphism Wojciech Ciszewski Legal institution Law & Economics (economic analysis of law) memory policies Commonwealth v. Aves Christine Korsgaard autonomy legal personhood

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